It appears that maybe, just maybe the picture is starting to clear up a bit in the Democratic race, but this is the Dems we are talking about after all. That means we can’t ever be sure about much of anything. So tentatively speaking it is starting to look like a battle between two, but as we said…
Part of this clarity from the still overcrowded field of Democrats vying for their Party’s nomination is a result of one major departure from the race. Most recently, Mayor Pete Buttigieg announced that he was leaving the race, leading to a peak of the summit.
Buttigieg was in the middle of the pack for nearly his entire campaign, but that also represented roughly 15 percent of the Democratic vote. In a field of muddled, mired in the middle leading candidates, fifteen percent is a very big number.
Although we can’t write former Vice President Joe Biden off just yet (and we know many would like to!), in light of his recent South Carolina primary victory, the Mayor’s exit may seal Biden’s fate. While that news is still too fresh to determine the exact fallout of Pete’s supporters, it doesn’t appear likely that Biden will pull many of those votes.
Add that to the recent Biden free-fall in the polls (barring his latest South Carolina win), along with Bernie’s rise and Elizabeth Warren’s still-hanging-around, still viable, still polling double digits status, it is beginning to look like a Warren versus Sanders showdown.
Wouldn’t that be a scene? We have already witnessed these two grizzled politicians go head to head and toe to toe in several debates already. Warren screeches something about Bernie and sounds something like I must break you! Then Bernie croaks back some hard to follow and barely coherent response that we can only roughly translate as, go for it!
Wouldn’t that be a scene? Fortunately, it will probably be one that will never be realized once the dust settles.
As one story reported, barring the unforeseen (like getting all of those Buttigieg supporters votes), this race is nearly a foregone conclusion. Even with the recent Biden win, it is likely too little too late. Mayor Pete, gone, and even the normally steady Warren has been steadily slipping in the polls.
More importantly, as the story pointed out, was that all-important delegate count. With Bernie’s momentum and his rapidly growing delegate count combined with Warren’s lack of delegates, this is all but done, notice the but.
According to the story, “if she stays in and pulls enough support from Bernie on Super Tuesday to stop him from giving the knock-out blow, that might earn her enough goodwill to have some leverage at the convention.”
In laymen terms, if Bernie doesn’t have the number of delegates to secure the nomination (and he likely won’t), and if Warren can get enough to get on the convention ballot? For her, it’s simple, she likes her chances against Bernie, head to head and toe to toe.
So maybe that scenario we poked fun at earlier isn’t that far-fetched after all? This possibility is also made more viable by the complete lack of leadership and direction of the Dems. In this party, nothing is as it seems.
Biden, for nearly an entire year leading up to the primary season, was the decided Democratic front-runner. Hello… Joe? The upstart Pete Buttigieg came in like a lion, and you know how the rest of that story goes. And as our story also reminded us regarding Elizabeth Warren, “this is a person who was the presumptive frontrunner four months ago.”
Now, here we are, and it seems this is Bernie’s race to lose. Perhaps that isn’t good news for Senator Sanders? Maybe Warren has him right where she wants him? In fact, have you heard the rumbles in Florida about Sanders not being a valid Democratic candidate because of his Independent party affiliation?
Sanders, Bernie Sanders… Elizabeth “Quick-Draw” Warren, high noon, Tuesday, the showdown – and only one will be left standing. No, that isn’t a reality, but what in the Democratic party is?
Meanwhile, the Republicans are planning for four more years of great leadership.